A Collaborative Multiplicative Holt-Winters Forecasting Approach with Dynamic Fuzzy-Level Component

نویسندگان
چکیده

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Quantile Versions of Holt-winters Forecasting Algorithms

We propose new versions of Holt-Winters (HW) and seasonal Holt-Winters (SHW) time series forecasting algorithms. The exponential smoothing construct is identical to HW/SHW, except that the coefficients are estimated by minimizing a given quantile error criterion, instead of the usual squared errors. We call these versions quantile HW/SHW (QHW/QSHW), which amounts to performing HW/SHW under an a...

متن کامل

Robust forecasting with exponential and holt-winters smoothing

Robust versions of the exponential and Holt–Winters smoothing method for forecasting are presented. They are suitable for forecasting univariate time series in the presence of outliers. The robust exponential and Holt–Winters smoothing methods are presented as recursive updating schemes that apply the standard technique to pre-cleaned data. Both the update equation and the selection of the smoo...

متن کامل

Integrated Forecasting and Inventory Control for Seasonal Demand: A Comparison with the Holt-Winters Approach

We present a data-driven forecasting technique with integrated inventory control for seasonal data and compare it to the traditional Holt-Winters algorithm. Results indicate that the datadriven approach achieves a 2-5% improvement in the average regret.

متن کامل

Holt-Winters method with general seasonality

Institute of Mathematics of the Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic provides access to digitized documents strictly for personal use. Each copy of any part of this document must contain these Terms of use. This paper has been digitized, optimized for electronic delivery and stamped with digital signature within the project DML-CZ: The Czech Digital Mathematics Library The paper suggests a...

متن کامل

The Accuracy Rate of Holt-Winters Model with Particle Swarm Optimization in Forecasting Exchange Rates

Exchange rates forecasting is a crucial and challenging task. Accurate forecasting of the imminent movements of exchange rates is very important in investments, trade and economics. In this paper, an exponential smoothing using the Holt-Winters Model is used for forecasting exchange rates. Parameter search for the smoothing constants is done through computer simulation using Particle Swarm Opti...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Applied Sciences

سال: 2018

ISSN: 2076-3417

DOI: 10.3390/app8040530